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04-16-2008, 09:52 PM #13
This author is a chicken little. These claims are the basis of his doomsday scenario:
They motivated me to look up crude oil futures prices, which I repeat below:
06/2008 $113.65
06/2009 $96.20
06/2010 $103.60
06/2011 $97.00
06/2012 $103.43
06/2013 $92.31
06/2014 $93.75
06/2015 $93.50
06/2016 $94.00
The price of oil today is about $113. The above prices are very informative because they reflect the market's aggregated view of likely future oil prices. Those prices reflect the opinions of those who are putting their money where their mouths are. It looks to me like there aren't many informed market participants who think we're about to run out of oil.
Who knows what the author's agenda is, but he certainly holds an unconventional opinion on the state of the world's oil supply. The rest of his doomsday scenario seems no better founded than his estimate of future oil supplies and prices.