Thread: Politics - this would be counterintuitive for many

Originally Posted by gugi

Yes, this is what I said. There have been a lot of terrible mistakes and mismanagement, but there have been a lot of absolutely proper decisions and actions as well. I could give you examples of both, but I'm not sure it'll make any difference if you have already made up your mind that every single thing has been an error.

You seem to be a very intelligent guy who hasn't got one crumb of common sense. I went out one evening and found that someone had jacked up my car, put it on blocks and stolen all four wheels. The funny thing was that they took all the nuts and collected them neatly in one of the hub caps. So, I guess you could say that, despite the fact that they were thieves and did me a great deal of harm, they were also polite and considerate.

for some reason i like this

Originally Posted by gugi

for some reason i like this

Thank you.

I wonder how much historical information was used from other countries who have the bomb or are developing it and how they are presenting it to the world, such as india, pakistan, north korea, chinese, russians, etc. in his calculations. Where does he draw the line at too much information or non-relevant information? I see his model more as a presentation tool rather than a means to predict something. His conclusions were built into the model because of the data he entered into it and the variables and tolerances used (some amount of opinion was entered at some point in time).