Quote Originally Posted by Razorfaust View Post
How about that Bernie and Hillary ? Are they truly a shoe in vs The Donald. Im not so sure anymore.
It's too early to make any categorical statement either way, but as the campaign starts unfolding and there is polling data we'll learn more.

Based on the available data so far, Trump has a significant deficit, but since he doesn't fit in the usual political mold, it is very possible that important things aren't properly accounted for. For example, there seems to be significant difference between in-person and online polls, which could be attributed to people supporting him, but being ashamed to admit it. And since voting on election day is anonymous this may turn out to be enough for him to win even if Clinton is ahead in the polls.
But with more data and changes in polling to account for such systematic errors if it's not very close we probably will know which way it goes with a good degree of certainty.