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12-10-2009, 08:50 PM #1
"admitting you cannot do something is not arrogant"... Agreed, but insisting that a tree falling does not make noise simply because a human is not there to hear is.
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12-10-2009, 09:13 PM #2
And how do you define each? What is the difference?
Your final statement assumes relativism, which not every one buys into. I, fore example, don't.
I guess I should revise by statement to say that I suspend judgment, unless it can be proven one way or the other. I don't think it's so much saying that the tree doesn't make noise if there is no human to hear it - it could be a camera or an animal or a detector of any type. And it's not that the tree makes no noise, it's that you can't PROVE that it makes any noise. To me, it is not to say that reality is based around humans so much as that proof is based around observables. And it's not this question that I find interesting, it's the implications about what we can "know" and what can be "proved."
To call it human arrogance is the same as getting tied up in the idea of what is "sound" or "a noise" - you're missing the spirit of the question.
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12-10-2009, 09:36 PM #3
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Thanked: 1587I'd say, based on prior information related to having observed several trees falling in a forest in the past, that yes, it indeed does make a noise, ceteris paribus. How much noise it makes is, in my experience, related to the density of the forest in question, and the height, circumference at chest height, and canopy cover of the tree in question.
Just because we do not directly observe something does not mean it does not happen. However, whether it matters to us is another question altogether.
James.<This signature intentionally left blank>
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12-10-2009, 09:53 PM #4
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12-10-2009, 10:10 PM #5
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Thanked: 1587You are talking to a statistician Holli - the only thing that matters to me are averages. On average, falling trees make noise. Whether you are there to hear it or not is irrelevant. If the direct observation of phenomena were a prerequisite for an event to occur, we would never be able to allocate non-zero probabilities to future events, for example, but we clearly do and can.
James.<This signature intentionally left blank>
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12-10-2009, 10:27 PM #6
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12-10-2009, 10:42 PM #7
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Thanked: 1587Is it? Sorry Greg, I did not read the entire thread.
If we are talking a one-off, I am with you all the way Holli - it is either true or false. But if 99 falling trees make a noise, and one does not, all that tells me is that 99% of trees make noise when they fall, on average. The non-noisy tree does not invalidate the 99 noisy ones. But that is the whole point of information - the more you get, the better informed you are. Who would base an entire idea upon a single observation, and state it as truth? It's madness I tells ya! Madness!!!!!
James.<This signature intentionally left blank>
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12-10-2009, 11:23 PM #8
I know only a little about stats, so please, James, correct me when I make a mistake here.
You could say that, on average, falling trees which have been observed make noise. (For now, lets not say anything about unobserved trees - we are trying to reach a conclusion about them, so we should not make statements about them.) Right off the bat, it seems to me that this statement allows for the possibility, though perhaps with an extremely small probability, that a falling tree that is observed could make no noise. That is to say, stating that the average observed falling tree does make noise does not rule out the possibility of an observed falling tree not making any noise. It then seems to me that, the statement that the average falling tree which is observed is not sufficient to prove that all observed falling trees will wake a noise - let alone unobserved falling trees.
How did I do?
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12-10-2009, 11:26 PM #9
Imagine my name is Dylan, and I hone razors. Let's say I hone 10 razors per day, and I've been honing at that rate for 10 years. I have shave tested every razor that I've ever honed, and 99% of them passed the shave test on the first try and were deemed shave ready. I now sit down and hone your razor for you and, without testing it, I tell you that it is shave ready. Is it? Do I have justification to say that it is shave ready? Can it be proven that it is or is not shave ready without testing? What if 100% of my razors were shave ready on the first try? What if 50% were?
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12-10-2009, 10:26 PM #10
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