Thread: An epidemiologist's word on Covid 19

Originally Posted by BobH

It is nearly impossible to totally isolate yourself. You can do things like not take public transportation, don't go to places where there will a lot of people gathered unless absolutely necessary, increase the physical distance you keep from other people when you do go out, don't shake hands or hug another person in greeting them and don't have friends or family over to your house. It is about reducing the risk of infection or at least slowing the rate of infection down to a point where an already taxed health care system stands a better chance of coping.

Bob

If I did this I might as well crawl into a hole and die anyway...................

"If a ruler's anger rises against you, do not leave your post; calmness can lay great offenses to rest." ECC 10: 4

So this is an autocrat telling his minions to do what he says?

Originally Posted by 32t

So this is an autocrat telling his minions to do what he says?

If you are referring to my quote from Ecclesiastes that was not the point but rather when great danger confronts you remaining calm will sort out much of the trouble

Originally Posted by 32t

If I did this I might as well crawl into a hole and die anyway...................

Nobody is saying you have to do it. It is only advice from medical experts that won't guarantee you won't get infected but it might help slow the infection rate so the health care system might stand a chance of being overwhelmed. You do have a choice so please yourself.

Bob

A good point.

Say in this town we have 100 hospital beds ,ventilators, etc.

We would rather have 100 people sick a week and need hospital care.

The virus will still effect 2500 that will need hospitalization but if it will be stretched over 6 months or so we can handle it.

Most people who get it will not have serious complications but we who are healthier should take those who are not into consideration and try not to spread it around.
On the one hand I agree with Mike that these things carry the function of culling the herd. On the other hand I remember the line in the country song, "Lord I wanna go to heaven but I don't wanna go tonight." We all know death is there for us but we live in a necessary denial of it. If we didn't we wouldn't still be here.
Personally I always try to favor quality over quantity

Originally Posted by 32t

A good point.

Say in this town we have 100 hospital beds ,ventilators, etc.

We would rather have 100 people sick a week and need hospital care.

The virus will still effect 2500 that will need hospitalization but if it will be stretched over 6 months or so we can handle it.

I 'think' what you are saying is exactly what the Powers That Be are trying to do with all of the school closures, event cancellations etc---

https://www.sciencealert.com/draggin...n-saving-lives

Originally Posted by cudarunner

I 'think' what you are saying is exactly what the Powers That Be are trying to do with all of the school closures, event cancellations etc---

https://www.sciencealert.com/draggin...n-saving-lives

The problem I see with this is that are "The Powers That Be" might be trying to control the sheep in their flock similar to Solomon?

Originally Posted by 32t

The problem I see with this is that are "The Powers That Be" might be trying to control the sheep in their flock similar to Solomon?

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